Bull / Bear Poll
The i3 – Canadian Investor Sentiment Survey is Canada’s leading national weekly financial market sentiment survey. We collect opinions from thousands of Canadians weekly to determine the market’s mood
- The i3 – Canadian Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of independent investors who are bullish, bearish, and neutral on the stock market for the next 3 months. It also measures what percentage of their portfolio is held in cash, bonds, and equities on a weekly basis. Only one vote per member is accepted in each weekly voting period.
- To vote and see the survey results you’ll need to become an i3 Member first – it’s free and just takes a moment.
- This survey is intended to provide the opinions of Canadians regarding their outlook on the direction of the Canadian Financial Markets
- The data in the chart is updated weekly.
- To ensure the integrity of the poll, only registered members can vote, and may only submit one vote per week.
- Sentiment surveys tend to act as contrarian indicators on market direction when they poll at the extremes. For example, if the poll shows extreme bullishness consistently over a minimum of a few weeks the market is likely near a topping point. Conversely if the poll shows extreme bearishness consistently for a minimum of a few weeks the market is likely near a bottoming point in the short term.
- For further analysis and insight on the i3 – Canadian Investor Sentiment Survey sign up for our free Monthly Market Report.
- Investable assets = Financial assets that you use to invest with excluding real estate
- Bearish = you feel market will be -3% lower in the next 3 months
- Bullish = you feel market will be +3 higher in the next 3 months
- Neutral = feel market will move sideways in the next three months
- Cash = includes money markets, GICs, and any other highly liquid instruments that are essentially cash equivalents
- Equities = includes assets held in stocks of corporations and excludes bonds, commodities or other instruments that are not holding solely equity of corporations
- Other = includes bonds, commodities, other instruments that are not cash or equities
- Bull / Bear ratio: the number of individuals voted bullish divided by the number of people that voted bearish (e.g. 1.5 = there are one and a half times more bullish sentiment in the market this week versus bearish; or 0.5 means there are only half as much bullish sentiment in the market as there is bearish sentiment this week
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